Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Andrey Rublev vs Lloyd Harris Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #14
70%
VS

Lloyd Harris

Rank: #320
30%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 68.8
ELO Rating: 2189.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1887.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 26.9
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 87.4

Lloyd Harris

Form Index: 77.9
ELO Rating: 631.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1546.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (1-2) grass Halle 181 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) grass Halle 62 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adam Walton (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Lloyd Harris

  • Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Otto Virtanen (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marc-Andrea Huesler (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Lloyd Harris
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Wimbledon 2025, Andrey Rublev is set to face Lloyd Harris on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a predicted win probability of 70.42% for Rublev compared to 29.58% for Harris, the match is expected to see a total of approximately 39 games played.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev holds a ranking of 14, significantly higher than Lloyd Harris's rank of 320. Despite both players showing similar fatigue levels at 174 minutes on court, Rublev's form index of 68.77 and Elo rating of 2189.95 indicate a stronger competitive edge. His surface strength index of 26.92 suggests he has adapted better to grass than Harris, who has a low surface strength index of 5.90. The difference in their mean serve index, with Rublev at 97.99 and Harris at 95.80, highlights Rublev's superior serving capability, which could play a critical role in this matchup. Additionally, both players have similar mean return indices, with Rublev at 87.38 and Harris at 87.38, indicating that return game may not be a significant differentiator. In their recent performances, Rublev has struggled, losing his last two matches, including a recent defeat against Laslo Djere at Wimbledon. His only win in the last three matches came against Sebastian Ofner. Conversely, Harris comes off a win against Zizou Bergs at Wimbledon, showing better recent form. However, he previously lost to Rublev at Roland Garros, highlighting Rublev's dominance in their head-to-head encounters.

Final Prediction

Rublev's higher ranking, superior serve, and overall better performance on grass give him a clear advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Rublev's ability to capitalize on his serve against Harris, which could ultimately dictate the match's outcome.