Metz France Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Arthur Cazaux vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #62
60%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #60
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Cazaux

Player Metrics

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 40.9
ELO Rating: 917.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.6

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 38.1
ELO Rating: 1161.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1683.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Arthur Cazaux

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Paris 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Paris 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (0-2) hard Almaty 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (2-1) hard Shanghai 181 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (1-2) hard Beijing 130 min

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) hard Paris 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Shanghai 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Shanghai 112 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) hard Beijing 84 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) hard Beijing 59 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Cazaux
vs
0
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 250 tournament in Metz, France, Arthur Cazaux is set to face Adrian Mannarino on hard court. The predictions favor Cazaux, with a 60.12% probability of victory compared to Mannarino's 39.88%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Arthur Cazaux currently holds a rank of 62 and possesses a form index of 40.91, while Adrian Mannarino is slightly higher at rank 60 with a form index of 38.14. Cazaux's Elo rating stands at 917.47, significantly lower than Mannarino's 1161.74, indicating a difference in overall performance levels and experience. Both players are fresh, with no cumulative fatigue recorded from their current tournament. On hard surfaces, Cazaux has a surface strength index of 7.73, while Mannarino boasts a stronger index of 10.87. In terms of serve efficiency, Cazaux leads with a mean serve index of 97.07 compared to Mannarino's 95.25, which showcases Cazaux’s slight edge in serving ability. However, Mannarino has a better mean return index of 87.75 against Cazaux's 86.59, indicating that he may excel in returning serves. In their recent performances, both players have faced challenges. Cazaux's last three matches include a notable victory against Luciano Darderi but losses against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Shintaro Mochizuki. Mannarino, on the other hand, also struggled, losing to Yannick Hanfmann and Francisco Cerundolo, with a solitary win against Matteo Berrettini. This recent form highlights Cazaux's ability to secure a win against a lower-ranked opponent, while Mannarino has faced tougher competition but has shown the capability to perform well in critical matches.

Final Prediction

Arthur Cazaux has a slight edge going into this match, primarily due to his superior serving capabilities and recent victory, despite both players struggling in their last outings. A key factor to monitor will be Cazaux’s serving performance, as maintaining his serve could prove pivotal in deciding the match's outcome.