Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Semifinals

Arthur Cazaux vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #115
40%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #31
60%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Ranking Trends

Arthur Cazaux

  • Current #115 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #118 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #78 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #87 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #92 2024-07-15

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #31 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #78 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #37 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #28 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #24 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 69.2
ELO Rating: 803.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 456.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.3

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 61.0
ELO Rating: 1726.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1699.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 132.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Arthur Cazaux
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jerome Kym (2-1) clay Gstaad 137 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) clay Gstaad 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-1) clay Gstaad 169 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Cazaux
vs
1
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland feature a clash between Arthur Cazaux and Alexander Bublik on clay. With a predicted total of 23 games, Alexander Bublik is favored to win with a probability of 59.58%, while Arthur Cazaux holds a 40.42% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Arthur Cazaux, currently ranked 115, has a form index of 69.23 and an Elo rating of 802.95. He has accumulated a significant fatigue level of 456 minutes in this tournament, which could affect his performance. His surface strength index stands at 6.63, and he has a mean serve index of 96.97, along with a mean return index of 86.33. In contrast, Alexander Bublik, ranked 31, showcases a stronger form index of 60.99 and a much higher Elo rating of 1726.30. With only 132 minutes of cumulative fatigue, he has a surface strength index of 14.29. His mean serve index is 95.51, while his mean return index is slightly lower at 86.23. The differences in their serve and return indices are minimal, indicating a balanced contest in those areas. In their recent matches, Cazaux has shown resilience, winning against Jerome Kym, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, and Nikoloz Basilashvili, all in three-set encounters. However, Bublik has been dominant in his recent outings, winning convincingly against Francisco Comesana and Alexander Shevchenko in straight sets, highlighting his current form and readiness for this semifinal.

Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik appears to have the edge due to his higher ranking, lower fatigue levels, and superior Elo rating, which reflects his overall performance and consistency. A key factor to observe during the match will be how Cazaux manages his fatigue against Bublik's fresh legs, especially in crucial points where stamina may play a decisive role.

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