Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Arthur Fery

Rank: #230
36%
VS

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #46
64%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Player Metrics

Arthur Fery

Form Index: 49.8
ELO Rating: 265.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1531.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 219.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.5
Clay: 0.7
Grass: 1.8
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.4

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 24.4
ELO Rating: 1022.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Arthur Fery

  • Last Match: vs Jay Clarke (2-1) hard Stockholm 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ignacio Buse (2-0) hard Stockholm 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (1-2) hard Cincinnati 166 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (2-1) hard Cincinnati 173 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (1-2) hard Shanghai 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Beijing 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (0-2) hard Chengdu 103 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) hard Chengdu 130 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (1-2) hard Winston Salem 141 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Fery
vs
0
Lorenzo Sonego
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Sonego at the Stockholm tournament marks the Round of 32 on hard courts. With Sonego ranked 46th and Fery at 230th, the Italian is favored to win with a probability of 64.34%, compared to Fery's 35.66%. The predicted total number of games played is expected to be around 24.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego holds a significant rank and Elo rating advantage over Arthur Fery, sitting at 46 and 1022.83, respectively. In contrast, Fery's rank is 230 with an Elo rating of 265.39. Both players exhibit different levels of form, with Sonego's form index at 24.41 indicating struggles, while Fery's index is higher at 49.84. Notably, Sonego has zero cumulative fatigue, which could play a vital role in maintaining his performance throughout the match. The surface strength index also favors Sonego, who boasts a score of 9.28 compared to Fery's 1.52, indicating a stronger performance potential on hard courts. The mean serve index shows a slight edge for Sonego at 96.14, while Fery's stands at 95.52, suggesting competitiveness in serving. However, Sonego's return index of 84.92 is lower than Fery's 87.36, indicating that Fery may have an advantage in returning serves. Recent performances exhibit Fery's mixed results, having won two matches and lost one in his last three outings, while Sonego is on a losing streak with three consecutive losses. This downturn in form for Sonego could provide Fery with an opportunity if he can capitalize on any vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego's substantial advantages in ranking, fatigue level, and surface strength index position him as the predicted winner against Arthur Fery. However, Fery's higher return index might enable him to exploit Sonego's current struggles, making it essential to watch how effectively he can counter Sonego's serve throughout the match.