Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Fils comes mainly from recent record by level, which adds 6.3 percentage points toward him, and overall strength, which contributes 5.0 points. That aligns with Fils carrying a substantially higher Elo at 1884.9 compared with Hanfmann at 1720.2, and a higher ranking, 24 versus 57. Age also nudges the model toward Fils by 4.5 points, and surface fit is a smaller positive for him by 1.9 points. Looking at the raw player metrics, Hanfmann posts a stronger form index at 57.58 compared with Fils at 41.95, which helps explain why he is not a complete outsider. Hanfmann has played 102 minutes already in Cincinnati, recorded as 102.0 minutes of fatigue, while Fils arrives with zero minutes logged in this event. Surface strength favors Fils, 41.39 to Hanfmann's 27.93. Serve and return indices are close, with Hanfmann at 97.40 serve and 88.70 return, and Fils at 96.28 serve and 87.40 return, so neither player holds a large measurable edge there. Recent form over three matches is mixed. Hanfmann beat Luca Van Assche and Flavio Cobolli, and lost to Nuno Borges. Fils won two matches in Toronto against Cameron Norrie and Mariano Navone, then lost most recently to Rafael Jodar. The model leans on the quality of opponents and overall headroom rather than simple recent wins.