Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Cristian Garin vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

Cristian Garin

Rank: #110
27%
VS

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #72
73%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Rinderknech

Ranking Trends

Cristian Garin

  • Current Rank: #110 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #133 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #152 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #122 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #106 (2024-07-01)

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Current Rank: #72 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #74 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #59 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #62 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #76 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Cristian Garin

Form Index: 58.1
ELO Rating: 515.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1579.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 5.6
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.3

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 60.4
ELO Rating: 1071.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 85.5

Recent Matches

Cristian Garin
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Chris Rodesch (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hady Habib (1-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Blanchet (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Harold Mayot (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Arthur Rinderknech
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Zverev (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) grass Mallorca 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) grass Mallorca 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) grass London 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) grass London 96 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cristian Garin
vs
0
Arthur Rinderknech
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between Cristian Garin and Arthur Rinderknech marks an important phase in the Round of 64 on grass, a surface that typically rewards strong serving and quick reflexes. The predicted winner is Arthur Rinderknech, with a probability of victory at 73.48%, while Cristian Garin holds a 26.52% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 37.0.

Match Analysis

Cristian Garin, currently ranked 110, has a form index of 58.13 and an Elo rating of 515.41. His cumulative fatigue level is notably high at 522 minutes, which may affect his performance. His surface strength index of 3.78 suggests he has struggled on grass compared to Rinderknech. Notably, Garin's mean serve index stands at 96.04, while his mean return index is at 87.31. This indicates a strong serving capability but a slightly weaker return game compared to his opponent. Arthur Rinderknech, ranked 72, boasts a higher form index of 60.44 and a significantly elevated Elo rating of 1071.00. His fatigue level is considerably lower at 174 minutes, which may allow him to maintain higher energy levels throughout the match. Rinderknech's surface strength index of 9.66 indicates a solid performance on grass. His mean serve index is slightly superior at 96.54, while his mean return index is 85.51. The difference in their mean serve indices is minimal, but this could become a critical factor in tight matches. Rinderknech's recent performances have included a notable victory against Alexander Zverev, showcasing his current form.

Final Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech's advantages in rank, Elo rating, and lower fatigue level position him as the clear favorite heading into this match. His recent success on grass and overall performance indicate he is in a strong place to capitalize on any weaknesses from Garin. A key factor to observe will be how each player handles their service games, particularly given Rinderknech's slight edge in serve effectiveness.