Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Finals

Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #54
61%
VS

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #204
39%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Rinderknech

Player Metrics

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 61.2
ELO Rating: 1402.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1614.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 670.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.3
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 85.8

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 63.1
ELO Rating: 952.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 988.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Shanghai 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) hard Shanghai 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (2-0) hard Shanghai 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) hard Shanghai 132 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Shanghai 106 min

Valentin Vacherot

  • Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (2-0) hard Shanghai 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-1) hard Shanghai 179 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-1) hard Shanghai 142 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (1-0) hard Shanghai 53 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-1) hard Shanghai 109 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Rinderknech
vs
0
Valentin Vacherot
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The finals of the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament brings together Arthur Rinderknech and Valentin Vacherot on hard courts in China. With a predicted total of 23 games, Rinderknech is favored to win with a probability of 61.27%, while Vacherot has a 38.73% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Arthur Rinderknech, ranked 54, enters the match with a form index of 61.24 and an Elo rating of 1402.14, indicating a solid performance level. His fatigue level is at 670 minutes, suggesting he has managed his energy well so far in the tournament. Rinderknech displays a strong surface strength index of 12.33 and a mean serve index of 97.89, which gives him a notable advantage as the difference in serve index exceeds 5 points. His mean return index is also competitive at 85.78. On the other hand, Valentin Vacherot, currently ranked 204, boasts a slightly higher form index of 63.10, but his Elo rating of 952.37 indicates a considerable gap in overall ability compared to Rinderknech. Vacherot has accumulated more fatigue at 988 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index of 7.66 is significantly lower than Rinderknech's, and while his mean serve index of 95.56 is decent, the return index of 85.95 is comparable, showing he can hold his own in rallies. In their recent performances, Rinderknech has shown dominance, winning all of his last three matches, including an impressive win against Daniil Medvedev. Vacherot has also been successful, defeating high-profile opponents like Novak Djokovic but has faced more extended matches, indicating potential weariness.

Final Prediction

Rinderknech’s higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and stronger serve index provide him with a distinct edge in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be Rinderknech's ability to maintain his serving efficiency, as this could dictate the tempo and ultimately the outcome of the match.