Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #7
60%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #23
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 34.7
ELO Rating: 1672.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1742.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.7
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 84.5

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 42.2
ELO Rating: 1280.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1654.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Basel 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs David Goffin (0-2) hard Shanghai 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ignacio Buse (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Vienna 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-0) hard Vienna 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Almaty 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) hard Almaty 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Shanghai 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Ben Shelton
vs
2
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
2 - 1
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Ben Shelton is set to face Flavio Cobolli on hard court. The prediction favors Shelton, with a win probability of 60.21% compared to Cobolli's 39.79%. The anticipated match is expected to see a total of approximately 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton currently holds a ranking of 7, with a form index of 34.73 and an Elo rating of 1672.30. His fatigue level stands at 0.0, indicating that he has not yet accumulated playing time in the current tournament. Shelton's surface strength index on hard court is a solid 13.81, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.91 and a mean return index of 84.54. Notably, there is a significant 2.78-point difference in the mean serve index compared to Cobolli, which could play a crucial role in the match dynamics. Flavio Cobolli, ranked 23, possesses a form index of 42.19 and an Elo rating of 1280.51, also with no recorded fatigue for this tournament. His surface strength index is lower at 9.61, with a mean serve index of 95.13 and a mean return index of 87.54. The difference in mean return index is 3.15 points, suggesting a slight advantage for Cobolli in return games. In their recent performances, both players have faced challenges; Shelton lost all three of his last matches, including a recent defeat to Jaume Munar. Conversely, Cobolli won against Tomas Machac but faced a tough loss against Jannik Sinner in his most recent outing.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's higher ranking, superior serve index, and overall stronger recent performances position him as the favored player in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be Shelton's ability to regain form and leverage his service game effectively, which could be decisive against Cobolli.