Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #13
62%
VS

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #44
38%
Expected Total Games: 40.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

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Ranking Trends

Ben Shelton

  • Current #13 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #14 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #21 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #13 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #15 2024-05-27

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Current #44 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #35 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #53 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #48 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #49 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 34.8
ELO Rating: 1800.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1705.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 17.5
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 84.0

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 25.3
ELO Rating: 976.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 8.9
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Lorenzo Sonego
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (0-2) clay Rome 92 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Madrid 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) clay Madrid 123 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Pedro Martinez (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 133 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) clay Marrakech 162 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Lorenzo Sonego
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego at Roland Garros marks an exciting Round of 128 clash on the clay surface. With Shelton ranked 13th and Sonego at 44th, the prediction suggests a win for Shelton with a probability of 62.37%, while Sonego stands at 37.63%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected to be around 40.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton enters the match with a strong form index of 34.82 and a notable Elo rating of 1800.61, indicating his competitive edge. His surface strength index of 15.58 suggests proficiency on clay, complemented by a mean serve index of 98.23, which is significantly higher than Sonego’s 96.35. This 1.88-point difference in serving capability could play a crucial role in dictating points during the match. Shelton's mean return index stands at 84.01, compared to Sonego's 84.87, showing a narrow margin in return performance. In contrast, Lorenzo Sonego has struggled recently, with a form index of 25.29 and an Elo rating of 975.95. Both players have shown inconsistent results in their last three matches, with Shelton winning one out of three and Sonego also claiming victory in just one of his last three encounters. Notably, both players lost their last two matches in straight sets, demonstrating a need for improvement heading into this Grand Slam event.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton’s higher ranking, superior serve index, and better form index provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Shelton’s ability to utilize his serving prowess effectively against Sonego, which could determine the flow and outcome of the match.

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