Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Ben Shelton vs Roberto Bautista Agut Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #6
67%
VS

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #53
33%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 63.8
ELO Rating: 1884.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1748.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 63.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.3
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.7
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 84.3

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 45.2
ELO Rating: 1221.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 230.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.1
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

  • Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) hard Cincinnati 63 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) hard Toronto 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-1) hard Toronto 144 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) hard Toronto 156 min

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Cincinnati 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Cincinnati 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 118 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) grass Mallorca 103 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Roberto Bautista Agut
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Ben Shelton and Roberto Bautista Agut in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 is set to be a compelling encounter on hard court. With a predicted probability of victory at 67.49% for Shelton compared to Bautista Agut's 32.51%, the anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton, currently ranked 6th in the world, boasts a form index of 63.82 and an Elo rating of 1884.71, indicating his strong current performance. His fatigue level, at 63.0 minutes, suggests he is relatively fresh compared to his opponent. Furthermore, Shelton's surface strength index of 15.34, combined with a mean serve index of 97.97 and a mean return index of 84.26, highlights his effectiveness on hard courts. The significant difference in mean serve index, with Shelton outperforming Bautista Agut by over 2.43 points, underscores his serving capability as a critical asset in this matchup. In contrast, Roberto Bautista Agut is ranked 53rd and has a lower form index of 45.24 alongside an Elo rating of 1221.74. His fatigue level is notably higher at 230.0 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the strain of previous matches. Although Bautista Agut has a respectable mean return index of 87.04, his surface strength index of 9.11 is considerably weaker than Shelton's, which may limit his effectiveness on the hard surface. Bautista Agut's recent performances show he has won his last two matches, but both were against lesser-ranked opponents, and he suffered a defeat in his match prior to those victories.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton enters this match with a distinct edge due to his higher ranking, recent form, and superior serving capabilities. Observers should watch for how effectively Shelton can use his serve to dictate play, as this will be a key factor in determining the match's outcome.