Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Billy Harris vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction

Billy Harris

Rank: #142
35%
VS

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #74
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Ranking Trends

Billy Harris

  • Current Rank: #142 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #107 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #125 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #104 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #139 (2024-06-24)

Mattia Bellucci

  • Current Rank: #74 (2025-06-23)
  • 3 Months Ago: #72 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #103 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #103 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #150 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Billy Harris

Form Index: 32.4
ELO Rating: 483.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1523.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 263.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.1

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 45.2
ELO Rating: 719.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 210.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Billy Harris
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) grass Eastbourne 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs George Loffhagen (0-2) grass Eastbourne 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Nardi (2-0) grass Eastbourne 81 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (1-2) grass London 110 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Evans (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Mattia Bellucci
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-0) grass Eastbourne 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) grass Eastbourne 60 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marek Gengel (2-0) grass Eastbourne 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) grass London 163 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Mackenzie McDonald (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 161 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Billy Harris
vs
1
Mattia Bellucci
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Billy Harris and Mattia Bellucci in the Round of 16 at the Eastbourne tournament promises to be an intriguing encounter on grass. The predicted winner is Mattia Bellucci, who has a winning probability of 65.15%, while Billy Harris stands at 34.85%. The match is expected to feature a total of around 23 games.

Match Analysis

Billy Harris, currently ranked 142, has a form index of 32.39 and an Elo rating of 483.90, which indicates he has been struggling to find consistent form. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 263 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of previous matches. Harris has a surface strength index of 6.18, showing some capability on grass, and his mean serve index is a solid 97.07. However, his mean return index of 86.14 is slightly below par, which may impact his ability to capitalize on Bellucci's serve. On the other hand, Mattia Bellucci, ranked 74, boasts a form index of 45.24 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 719.34. His cumulative fatigue is lower at 210 minutes, which may give him an advantage in stamina. Bellucci's surface strength index is slightly lower at 6.07, but he holds a slightly better mean serve index of 96.27 compared to Harris. Importantly, Bellucci's mean return index is 86.42, which could be crucial in breaking Harris's serve. Both players have shown promising form in their recent matches, with Bellucci winning all his last three encounters convincingly, while Harris’s performance has been more mixed.

Final Prediction

Mattia Bellucci appears to have the upper hand in this matchup, given his higher rank, superior Elo rating, and better recent performances. A key factor to watch will be Bellucci's ability to maintain pressure on Harris's serve, especially considering Harris's lower return index. If Bellucci can leverage his return game effectively, he is likely to secure a place in the next round.