Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Brandon Nakashima vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #32
60%
VS

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #52
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 46.5
ELO Rating: 1159.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 82.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 84.4

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 49.9
ELO Rating: 1198.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima

  • Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) hard Almaty 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (0-2) hard Shanghai 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Tokio 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) hard Tokio 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jordan Thompson (2-1) hard Tokio 184 min

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-0) hard Almaty 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) hard Shanghai 140 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-1) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Beijing 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Beijing 93 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Brandon Nakashima
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the ATP 250 tournament in Almaty, Kazakhstan, features Brandon Nakashima facing off against Fabian Marozsan on hard courts. Nakashima is predicted to win the match with a probability of 59.82%, while Marozsan's chances stand at 40.18%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, currently ranked 32, possesses a form index of 46.47 and an Elo rating of 1159.85. His fatigue level is at 82 minutes from the current tournament, indicating a solid performance despite some recent challenges. His surface strength index of 11.21 and a mean serve index of 98.04 highlight his proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Fabian Marozsan, ranked 52, has a slightly higher Elo rating of 1198.56 and a form index of 49.89. His fatigue level is similar at 80 minutes, but his surface strength index is lower at 10.17. Nakashima's mean serve index surpasses Marozsan's by over 2.5 points, which may give him an edge in service games. Additionally, Marozsan's mean return index of 87.03 is better than Nakashima's 84.36, showcasing his return capabilities. In their recent matches, Nakashima has shown mixed performance, having won his last match against Hamad Medjedovic but losing the two prior matches against Kamil Majchrzak and Carlos Alcaraz. Marozsan, on the other hand, has had a more favorable run recently, achieving victory against Luca Nardi in his last match and managing to win against Stan Wawrinka, although he faced a setback against Taylor Fritz.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima's edge stems from his superior serve and slightly better surface performance, along with a higher ranking, which suggests he can handle pressure effectively. A key factor to watch in this match will be Nakashima's service game, as maintaining a strong serve against Marozsan could significantly influence the match's outcome.