Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Brandon Nakashima vs Hamad Medjedovic Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #32
56%
VS

Hamad Medjedovic

Rank: #65
44%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Ranking Trends

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current Rank: #32 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #31 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #35 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #38 (2024-10-14)

Hamad Medjedovic

  • Current Rank: #65 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #72 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #72 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #98 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #160 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 40.0
ELO Rating: 1151.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1613.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.1
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 84.3

Hamad Medjedovic

Form Index: 30.4
ELO Rating: 973.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 7.1
Grass: 5.0
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Kamil Majchrzak (0-2) hard Shanghai 70 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Tokio 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) hard Tokio 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (2-1) hard Tokio 184 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Tabilo (0-2) hard Chengdu 94 min

Hamad Medjedovic
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-1) hard Shanghai 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Tokio 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Winston Salem 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) hard Winston Salem 94 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Brandon Nakashima
vs
1
Hamad Medjedovic
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 250 tournament in Almaty, Kazakhstan, Brandon Nakashima is set to face Hamad Medjedovic on hard court. With a predicted probability of 55.65% for Nakashima to win compared to 44.35% for Medjedovic, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima currently ranks 32nd and boasts a form index of 39.99, indicating a moderate level of performance. His Elo rating stands at 1151.39, and he shows no signs of fatigue in this tournament. His surface strength index of 11.12 reflects a solid capacity on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 98.00, which is significantly higher than Medjedovic's 96.04, establishing a clear advantage in serving capability. Additionally, Nakashima's mean return index of 84.31 is notably lower than Medjedovic's 85.87, though the margin is less than 5 points. On the other hand, Hamad Medjedovic ranks 65th with a form index of 30.41. His Elo rating of 973.64 suggests he is currently performing below Nakashima's level. Medjedovic has also shown no cumulative fatigue; however, his recent form has been less impressive. In his last three matches, he has failed to secure a win, including losses to top players like Holger Rune and Arthur Rinderknech. In contrast, Nakashima's recent performances have included a victory against Marton Fucsovics, although he has struggled in his last two matches against higher-ranked competitors.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima appears to have the upper hand due to his superior ranking, serve index, and recent performance trends. A key factor to watch will be Nakashima's ability to leverage his serve effectively against Medjedovic, which could dictate the flow of the match.