Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 64

Cameron Norrie vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #61
33%
VS

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #12
67%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 69.0
ELO Rating: 1311.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1705.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 88.7

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 86.6
ELO Rating: 1604.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1707.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 20.9
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Federico Agustin Gomez (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
1
Frances Tiafoe
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Wimbledon 2025, Cameron Norrie faces off against Frances Tiafoe on the grass courts of Great Britain. The match is expected to be competitive, with Tiafoe predicted to win, holding a probability of 67.46% compared to Norrie's 32.54%. The predicted total number of games played is 38.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 61, has a form index of 68.99 and an Elo rating of 1311.03, indicating a challenging season thus far. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, which may impact his performance. Notably, Norrie's surface strength index is 9.61, suggesting he is still adapting to the grass surface. His mean serve index is 97.12, while his mean return index is 88.68. Tiafoe, ranked 12, boasts a significantly higher form index of 86.59 and an Elo rating of 1604.05, highlighting his superior performance levels. Tiafoe also has a fatigue level of 174 minutes, but his surface strength index at 20.95 indicates better proficiency on grass. The mean serve index for Tiafoe is 95.74, while his return index of 86.76 is slightly better than Norrie's, though the difference isn't substantial. In their recent performances, Norrie won his last match against Roberto Bautista Agut but struggled against Billy Harris and Novak Djokovic in previous matches, indicating inconsistency. In contrast, Tiafoe's last match saw him defeat Elmer Moller convincingly, while he faced challenges at Roland Garros, winning one match but losing another. This contrast in recent form may give Tiafoe the psychological edge entering this match.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe's higher rank, superior form index, and recent strong performance in the tournament provide him with a notable advantage over Cameron Norrie. A key factor to watch will be Tiafoe's ability to dominate the serve, as a strong serving game could dictate the flow of the match on grass.