Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #39
40%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #45
60%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

Ranking Trends

Cameron Norrie

  • Current Rank: #39 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #81 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #74 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #47 (2024-08-26)

Sebastian Korda

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #23 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #23 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #22 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #16 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 34.8
ELO Rating: 1382.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1705.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.0

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 65.1
ELO Rating: 1692.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1670.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.5

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (0-2) hard Cincinnati 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-2) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Washington 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Washington 126 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Washington 103 min

Sebastian Korda
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-1) hard Winston Salem 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) hard Winston Salem 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the US Open will feature Cameron Norrie against Sebastian Korda in the Round of 128 on hard courts in New York. The predicted winner is Sebastian Korda, who has a 59.57% probability of winning, while Cameron Norrie stands at 40.43%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 39th, has a form index of 34.82 and an Elo rating of 1382.54. His fatigue level is at 0.0, indicating he has not accrued any significant match time in the current tournament. Norrie's surface strength index stands at 10.04, and he possesses a mean serve index of 96.93, along with a mean return index of 87.97. In contrast, Sebastian Korda, ranked 45th, boasts a higher form index of 65.11 and an Elo rating of 1692.23, suggesting he is in better form leading into this match. Korda also has a surface strength index of 14.88, a mean serve index of 95.56, and a mean return index of 85.51. Notably, the difference in their mean return indices is more than 5 points in favor of Norrie, which could play a crucial role in the match. In their recent performances, Norrie has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a defeat against Roberto Bautista Agut in Cincinnati, where he was unable to secure a set. Korda, on the other hand, has shown resilience and form with three consecutive victories in Winston-Salem, including a straight-sets win against Miomir Kecmanovic in his last match.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda's higher form index and recent winning streak give him a significant edge going into this match. A key factor to watch will be Korda's ability to handle Norrie's returns, as both players have distinct strengths in their serve and return games. This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest on the hard courts of New York.