Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Terence Atmane Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #43
35%
VS

Terence Atmane

Rank: #68
65%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Terence Atmane

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Current #43 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #56 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #63 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #97 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #112 2024-09-30

Terence Atmane

  • Current #68 2025-09-22
  • 3 mo ago #124 2025-06-30
  • 6 mo ago #179 2025-03-31
  • 9 mo ago #158 2024-12-30
  • 12 mo ago #161 2024-09-30

Player Metrics

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 14.2
ELO Rating: 768.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.5

Terence Atmane

Form Index: 57.4
ELO Rating: 805.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1585.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Terence Atmane
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (1-2) hard Beijing 141 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Zhizhen Zhang (2-0) hard Beijing 71 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-0) hard Beijing 134 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fajing Sun (2-0) hard Beijing 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Dino Prizmic (0-2) hard Chengdu 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
vs
0
Terence Atmane
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament, Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces Terence Atmane on hard courts. With a predicted win probability of 64.70% for Atmane compared to 35.30% for Carabelli, it is expected that the match will see a total of approximately 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes into the match ranked 43rd with a form index of 14.20 and an Elo rating of 768.21. His surface strength index of 5.81 suggests he has struggled on hard courts, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.39 and a mean return index of 88.51. In contrast, Terence Atmane, ranked 68th, shows a stronger form index of 57.42 and a higher Elo rating of 805.17. His surface strength index is also more robust at 7.31, indicating better performance on hard courts. While their serve indexes are relatively close, Atmane's return index of 85.84 is lower than Carabelli's, but the difference is not significant enough to be a determining factor. Looking at their recent performances, Carabelli has not won a match in his last three outings, losing consistently in straight sets against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Rinky Hijikata, and Tomas Martin Etcheverry. On the other hand, Atmane managed a victory against Zhizhen Zhang and also secured a win against Botic van de Zandschulp, although he lost to Jannik Sinner. This recent form indicates Atmane has been more competitive in his matches.

Final Prediction

Terence Atmane's superior form, higher Elo rating, and recent victories give him a distinct advantage over Carabelli, who has struggled to find form lately. A key factor to watch will be Atmane's ability to capitalize on his serve and maintain pressure on Carabelli, especially given the latter's recent performance issues.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel