Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz comes into this match with a strong form index of 63.86 and an impressive Elo rating of 6405.20. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 430 minutes, which is slightly higher than Musetti’s 402 minutes. Alcaraz also possesses a significant advantage in surface strength with an index of 58.55, compared to Musetti's 25.09. This disparity indicates Alcaraz's superior capability on clay, which is critical for this matchup. Furthermore, Alcaraz has a mean serve index of 96.57, while Musetti's is 95.84, showing a narrow margin; however, their mean return indices are quite close, with Alcaraz at 88.15 and Musetti at 88.23, indicating both players are effective returners. In their last three matches, Alcaraz has demonstrated consistent dominance, winning all his encounters in the tournament without dropping a set, including a recent victory over Jack Draper in 97 minutes. Musetti, on the other hand, has also been impressive, winning his last three matches without losing a set, including a notable win against Alexander Zverev. Both players are in solid form, but Alcaraz's recent performances highlight a slightly more commanding presence on the court.