Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Casper Ruud vs Dominic Stricker Prediction

Casper Ruud

Rank: #15
79%
VS

Dominic Stricker

Rank: #238
21%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 54.6
ELO Rating: 3554.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1797.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.5
Clay: 31.6
Grass: 34.9
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.6

Dominic Stricker

Form Index: 57.9
ELO Rating: 246.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 106.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 1.7
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 83.2

Recent Matches

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-1) clay Rome 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) clay Rome 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) clay Rome 60 min

Dominic Stricker

  • Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-1) clay Gstaad 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Saba Purtseladze (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (0-2) clay Geneva 95 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Casper Ruud
vs
0
Dominic Stricker
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland, Casper Ruud is set to face Dominic Stricker on clay. Ruud, currently ranked 15, holds a significant advantage with a predicted win probability of 79.04%, while Stricker's chances stand at 20.96%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud's position as the 15th ranked player and his form index of 54.64 suggest he is in reasonable shape heading into this match. His Elo rating of 3554.18 underscores his experience and skill on clay, complemented by a surface strength index of 31.56. Ruud has demonstrated a strong serve, boasting a mean serve index of 96.98, providing him with a solid advantage in service games. In contrast, Dominic Stricker, ranked 238, while displaying a slightly better form index of 57.89, has an Elo rating of only 246.30, indicating a significant gap in experience and performance levels. Stricker's fatigue level at 106 minutes may also impact his effectiveness, particularly against a player like Ruud. In their recent performances, Ruud has faced challenges, winning only one of his last three matches, which included a tough defeat at Roland Garros against Nuno Borges. However, he did secure a solid victory against Albert Ramos-Vinolas in the previous round. Stricker, on the other hand, comes off a win against Pierre-Hugues Herbert in Gstaad, but his earlier losses at Wimbledon indicate inconsistency, particularly against stronger opponents.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better serve performance provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. The key factor to watch will be Ruud's ability to capitalize on his serve and maintain pressure on Stricker, especially given the latter's fatigue and relative inexperience on this stage.