Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Christopher O'Connell

Rank: #81
51%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #91
49%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Christopher O'Connell

Player Metrics

Christopher O'Connell

Form Index: 33.7
ELO Rating: 922.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1586.3
Minutes Played in Current Tournament: 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 6.8
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 85.1

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 45.3
ELO Rating: 1109.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1667.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 203.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Christopher O'Connell

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) clay Madrid 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (0-2) clay Munich 116 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (0-2) clay Munich 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (0-1) clay Bucharest 79 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (1-2) clay Rome 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jacopo Vasami (2-0) clay Rome 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (1-2) clay Madrid 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) clay Madrid 95 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (2-1) clay Madrid 161 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Christopher O'Connell
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Christopher O'Connell is set to face Cameron Norrie on clay courts. The match is anticipated to be closely contested, with O'Connell having a slight edge, predicted to win with a probability of 51.28% compared to Norrie's 48.72%. The expected total number of games played is projected to be around 24.0.

Match Analysis

Christopher O'Connell currently holds a rank of 81, with a form index of 33.74 and an Elo rating of 922.38. He has shown resilience on clay, possessing a surface strength index of 6.99, although his recent match performance indicates some inconsistency. Notably, his mean serve index is 97.69, which is marginally stronger than Norrie's mean serve index of 95.94, creating a difference of just under 2 points. O'Connell's mean return index of 85.14 also suggests a competitive edge, although it is closer to Norrie’s 88.59, which narrows the gap in return capabilities. Cameron Norrie, ranked 91, comes into this match with a higher form index of 45.30 and an Elo rating of 1109.81, indicating a more favorable recent performance. However, his cumulative fatigue of 203 minutes from prior matches may play a crucial role in his stamina during this encounter. In his last three matches, Norrie has experienced mixed results, with a notable loss against Dusan Lajovic that may weigh on his confidence. Conversely, O'Connell has displayed a win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli, albeit with two recent losses, highlighting the unpredictable nature of their current forms.

Final Prediction

O'Connell's slight advantage in serving capability, combined with Norrie's fatigue, gives him a crucial edge heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how each player adapts their strategy on clay, particularly in managing their respective serving and returning games, which could ultimately dictate the match's outcome.