Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 32

Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Coleman Wong

Rank: #174
24%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #15
76%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Ranking Trends

Coleman Wong

  • Current Rank: #174 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #175 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #166 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #163 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #149 (2024-08-26)

Andrey Rublev

  • Current Rank: #15 (2025-08-18)
  • 3 Months Ago: #15 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #9 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #8 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Coleman Wong

Form Index: 86.5
ELO Rating: 663.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 2.1
Grass: 2.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 84.3

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 77.5
ELO Rating: 1964.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1881.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.7
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 27.1
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Coleman Wong
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Gigante (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) hard Cincinnati 67 min

Andrey Rublev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dino Prizmic (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Cincinnati 137 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) hard Cincinnati 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexei Popyrin (2-1) hard Cincinnati 209 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Coleman Wong
vs
0
Andrey Rublev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the US Open in New York features Coleman Wong against Andrey Rublev in the Round of 32 on hard courts. According to the analysis, Andrey Rublev is favored to win with a probability of 75.92%, while Coleman Wong has a 24.08% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 39.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 15th, brings a solid form index of 77.50 and an impressive Elo rating of nearly 1964, indicating his considerable experience and skill level. He has a lower cumulative fatigue of 348 minutes compared to Wong's 696 minutes, which may give him an advantage in stamina. Rublev's surface strength index of 15.67 highlights his proficiency on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.22 and mean return index of 87.27 suggest a well-rounded game. Notably, Rublev's serve index is higher than Wong's by over 5 points, potentially leading to more effective service games. On the other hand, Coleman Wong is ranked 174th and has a form index of 86.45, reflecting a recent upswing in performance. His Elo rating of approximately 664 and surface strength index of 6.41 indicate a significant gap in experience and skill on hard courts compared to Rublev. Wong has shown resilience in his last three matches, winning all with a solid record, yet he has faced opponents ranked lower than Rublev. His mean serve index stands at 95.80, which, while competitive, is slightly lower than Rublev's.

Final Prediction

Andrey Rublev's higher rank, superior experience, and lower fatigue levels position him as the clear favorite in this match. The key factor to watch will be Wong's ability to handle Rublev's powerful serve and return game, which could determine the match's outcome.