Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Shevchenko vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #89
37%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #38
63%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current #89 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #101 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #104 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #77 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #61 2024-10-14

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #38 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #62 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #76 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #69 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #71 2024-10-14

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 714.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 126.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 88.7

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 42.6
ELO Rating: 1179.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 112.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Corentin Moutet
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
2
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan features Alexander Shevchenko facing off against Corentin Moutet on hard court. The prediction favors Moutet, with a win probability of 62.61% compared to Shevchenko's 37.39%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko, currently ranked 89, has a form index of 44.39 and an Elo rating of 714.68. His cumulative fatigue from the current tournament stands at 126 minutes, which may impact his performance. In terms of surface strength, Shevchenko has a score of 6.98, indicating limited effectiveness on hard courts. His mean serve index is 96.78, while his mean return index is 88.70, suggesting he has a strong serve but may struggle to return effectively against Moutet. Corentin Moutet, ranked 38, possesses a higher form index of 42.63 and an impressive Elo rating of 1179.67. His fatigue level is slightly lower at 112 minutes. Moutet's surface strength index of 9.21 indicates a solid performance capability on hard surfaces. While his mean serve index is 94.89, which is close to Shevchenko's, his mean return index of 88.49 shows he may have a slight disadvantage in returns. Still, the difference in their serve indices is not significant enough to highlight a clear advantage.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's higher ranking, better Elo rating, and slightly lower fatigue level give him a notable edge over Alexander Shevchenko in this match. An important factor to observe will be Moutet's ability to capitalize on his opponent's fatigue and maintain pressure throughout the match, particularly in the return game.

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