Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Damir Dzumhur vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #63
29%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #36
71%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

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Player Metrics

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 48.1
ELO Rating: 829.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 89.6

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 57.3
ELO Rating: 1223.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1647.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Damir Dzumhur

Corentin Moutet

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Damir Dzumhur
vs
1
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Damir Dzumhur and Corentin Moutet at the Vienna tournament marks an exciting clash in the Round of 32 on hard court. With Moutet holding a significant edge, he is predicted to win with a probability of 71.16%, while Dzumhur's chances stand at 28.84%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 63rd, Damir Dzumhur possesses a form index of 48.14 and an Elo rating of 829.84. His fatigue level stands at a concerning 218 minutes, indicating that he has been on court quite a bit during this tournament. Dzumhur's surface strength index of 5.15 suggests he may struggle on hard courts, and his mean serve index of 96.22 is slightly better than his mean return index of 89.62. The relatively close proximity of these indices indicates a balanced performance in both serving and returning. In contrast, Corentin Moutet, ranked 36th with a form index of 57.33 and a higher Elo rating of 1223.74, shows a more favorable profile. He has zero fatigue accumulated, suggesting he enters this match fresh. Moutet's surface strength index is significantly better at 9.72, reflecting his adeptness on hard courts. While his mean serve index of 94.88 is slightly lower than Dzumhur's, his mean return index of 88.52 is competitive, showing that he can effectively challenge opponents' serves. Over their last three matches, Moutet has shown resilience, despite a recent loss to Daniil Medvedev, while Dzumhur has managed to secure two wins against lower-ranked opponents.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's overall superior ranking, better form, and freshness make him the clear favorite in this matchup. One key factor to observe will be Dzumhur's ability to maintain his energy levels and capitalize on his serve against Moutet's return game, which could determine the flow of the match.

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