Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #36
40%
VS

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #8
60%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 1354.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1662.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 202.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.4

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 59.5
ELO Rating: 1976.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1728.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 171.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.3
Clay: 24.0
Grass: 22.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-0) hard Vienna 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Vienna 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) hard Almaty 156 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Almaty 132 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) hard Almaty 110 min

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Vienna 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) hard Vienna 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) hard Brussels 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) hard Brussels 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Shanghai 85 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
1
Lorenzo Musetti
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Corentin Moutet and Lorenzo Musetti at the Vienna tournament promises to be an engaging contest on hard courts. With Musetti being the higher-ranked player, the prediction favors him to win, providing a probability of 59.64% compared to Moutet's 40.36%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is set at 22.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet currently ranks 36th and holds a form index of 63.47, coupled with an Elo rating of 1354.06. His fatigue level stands at 202 minutes, indicating he has spent considerable time on court during this tournament. Moutet's surface strength index is 10.84, while his mean serve index is at 96.29 and mean return index at 88.38. On the other hand, Lorenzo Musetti's rank is significantly higher at 8, with a form index of 59.54 and an Elo rating of 1976.39. He exhibits less fatigue at 171 minutes and a stronger surface strength index of 12.29. The difference in their mean serve indices is marginal, but Moutet has a slightly better serve performance. The return game shows a notable gap, with Moutet's mean return index surpassing Musetti’s by just over 0.6 points. In their last three matches, Moutet has shown resilience, winning against both Daniil Medvedev and Damir Dzumhur, while losing one match to Medvedev earlier in Almaty. His recent performances highlight an upward trajectory, especially with a solid victory against Medvedev in his last outing. Musetti has also been on a winning streak in Vienna, defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Hamad Medjedovic, but faced a setback in Brussels. His consistent form against lower-ranked opponents will be tested against Moutet.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti appears to have the edge due to his higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and slightly lower fatigue level, which could contribute to a more consistent performance. A crucial factor to monitor will be how both players handle their serve and return games, particularly with Musetti’s ability to capitalize on Moutet’s slight vulnerability in return efficiency.