Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Corentin Moutet vs Mackenzie McDonald Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #46
62%
VS

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #96
38%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 1269.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1633.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.7

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 38.3
ELO Rating: 510.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Toronto 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Toronto 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Washington 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Washington 145 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (2-0) hard Washington 100 min

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs David Goffin (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Washington 65 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
0
Mackenzie McDonald
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Corentin Moutet and Mackenzie McDonald takes place in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, held on hard courts in Ohio. Corentin Moutet is favored to win, with a probability of 61.93%, while Mackenzie McDonald has a 38.07% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet currently holds a rank of 46, significantly higher than Mackenzie McDonald's rank of 96. Moutet's form index stands at 44.90, indicating a better recent performance compared to McDonald’s 38.31. Moutet's Elo rating of 1269.48 also showcases his competitive edge over McDonald’s 510.35. Both players show no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, suggesting they are both physically prepared for the match. Moutet possesses a stronger surface strength index of 9.35 compared to McDonald’s 6.13, further indicating his suitability for hard courts. Furthermore, Moutet's mean serve index (96.30) exceeds McDonald’s (94.96) by more than 5 points, which may give him an advantage in service games. Additionally, Moutet’s return index (88.71) is also superior to McDonald’s (85.63) by more than 5 points, enhancing his ability to capitalize on McDonald's serve. In their recent performances, Moutet has experienced mixed outcomes, winning one of his last three matches against Jenson Brooksby but losing to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex de Minaur. Conversely, McDonald has also faced challenges, with a recent win against David Goffin, but he lost to Jiri Lehecka and Ben Shelton in his other two matches. This inconsistency from both players may impact their confidence heading into this contest.

Final Prediction

Moutet's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better performance metrics provide him with a considerable advantage in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be Moutet's ability to leverage his strong serve and return game, which could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this encounter.