Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Dalibor Svrcina vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Dalibor Svrcina

Rank: #91
20%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #18
80%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

Dalibor Svrcina

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 506.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 204.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.2
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 89.5

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 59.4
ELO Rating: 3109.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2077.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 30.1
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 41.0
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Dalibor Svrcina

  • Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (1-0) hard Shanghai 55 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yosuke Watanuki (2-0) hard Shanghai 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Giulio Zeppieri (2-0) hard Shanghai 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) hard Hangzhou 53 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Zhizhen Zhang (2-0) hard Hangzhou 92 min

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-0) hard Beijing 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Beijing 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Beijing 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (1-2) hard Hangzhou 191 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) hard Hangzhou 75 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Dalibor Svrcina
vs
1
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 of the Shanghai Masters 1000, Dalibor Svrcina faces Daniil Medvedev on hard courts. The match is set to provide an interesting contest, with Medvedev heavily favored to win with a probability of 79.84% compared to Svrcina's 20.16%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 21.

Match Analysis

Dalibor Svrcina, currently ranked 91, has a form index of 55.03 and an Elo rating of 506.84. His cumulative fatigue stands at 204 minutes, having played three matches in the tournament so far. His surface strength index is relatively low at 4.69, but he has shown promise with a mean serve index of 94.44 and a mean return index of 89.48. Conversely, Daniil Medvedev is ranked 18 and boasts a significantly high Elo rating of 3109.90, with a form index of 59.45 and no cumulative fatigue, indicating he is fresh for this encounter. Medvedev's surface strength index is much higher at 30.12, which reinforces his capability on hard courts. The difference in their mean serve index (Medvedev at 95.24) is over 5 points in favor of Medvedev, suggesting a distinct serving advantage. Interestingly, the disparity in their mean return index is not significant, as it stands at less than 5 points. Both players have been in strong form recently, with Svrcina winning all three of his matches in Shanghai without dropping a set. His victories against Yibing Wu, Yosuke Watanuki, and Giulio Zeppieri demonstrate his competitive edge. Medvedev, on the other hand, has also won his last three matches in Beijing without dropping a set against formidable opponents such as Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's higher rank, superior Elo rating, fresh condition, and notable advantage in serving strength position him as the clear favorite in this match. One key factor to watch will be how Svrcina handles Medvedev's powerful serve and if he can leverage his recent momentum to challenge the higher-ranked player effectively.