Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Damir Dzumhur vs Christopher O'Connell Prediction

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #66
36%
VS

Christopher O'Connell

Rank: #103
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Christopher O'Connell

Ranking Trends

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current Rank: #66 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #67 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #65 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #83 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #96 (2024-09-30)

Christopher O'Connell

  • Current Rank: #103 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #77 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #87 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #71 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 14.2
ELO Rating: 813.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1550.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.8

Christopher O'Connell

Form Index: 35.8
ELO Rating: 759.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Damir Dzumhur
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Vukic (1-2) hard Tokio 110 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) hard Hangzhou 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Cincinnati 143 min

Christopher O'Connell
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (0-2) hard Beijing 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Tabilo (1-2) hard Chengdu 144 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Yi Zhou (2-0) hard Chengdu 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Chengdu 131 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (0-1) hard Winston Salem 51 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Damir Dzumhur
vs
0
Christopher O'Connell
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 of the Masters 1000 tournament in Shanghai, Damir Dzumhur will face Christopher O'Connell on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with O'Connell predicted to win with a probability of 64.16%, compared to Dzumhur's 35.84%. The predicted total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Damir Dzumhur is currently ranked 66th with a form index of 14.20 and an Elo rating of 813.33. His surface strength index stands at 4.62, indicating a modest performance on hard courts. He has shown signs of fatigue having not played any minutes in the current tournament, but his recent matches reflect a struggle, having lost his last three encounters. His mean serve index of 96.03 and mean return index of 89.82 showcase his ability to serve effectively and return well, but his recent form raises concerns. On the other hand, Christopher O'Connell, ranked 103rd, has a higher form index of 35.80 and an Elo rating of 759.70, although his surface strength index is better than Dzumhur’s at 9.64. O'Connell also has not accumulated any fatigue from the current tournament, and while his recent performances show inconsistency, he managed to win one of his last three matches, which could boost his confidence. His mean serve index of 95.90 and mean return index of 85.21 indicate he has a solid serving game, although his return game is comparatively weaker than Dzumhur's.

Final Prediction

Christopher O'Connell holds a distinct advantage with a higher form index and a better recent performance in comparison to Dzumhur. The key factor to monitor will be Dzumhur's ability to capitalize on his stronger return index against O'Connell's serve, as it could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.