Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Daniel Altmaier vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #71
41%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
59%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Player Metrics

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 36.6
ELO Rating: 833.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 7.4
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 87.9

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 22.3
ELO Rating: 1434.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1656.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Daniel Altmaier

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Daniel Altmaier
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Hamburg, Germany, Daniel Altmaier is set to face Felix Auger-Aliassime on clay. The predicted winner of this matchup is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a probability of winning at 59.05%, while Daniel Altmaier has a 40.95% chance. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is forecasted to be 23.0.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime currently holds a rank of 27, significantly higher than Altmaier's rank of 71. This ranking difference reflects Auger-Aliassime's more consistent performance on the ATP circuit. Auger-Aliassime boasts an Elo rating of 1433.99 compared to Altmaier's 833.76, indicating a substantial gap in competitive experience. In terms of fatigue, both players have a cumulative fatigue rating of 0.0, suggesting they come into this match fresh. On clay, Auger-Aliassime has a surface strength index of 13.16, which is notably stronger than Altmaier's 7.41. Moreover, the mean serve index shows a slight edge for Altmaier at 97.55 compared to Auger-Aliassime's 96.47, but the difference in return index is in favor of Altmaier, who has an index of 87.91 against Auger-Aliassime’s 85.84. Looking at their recent performances, Altmaier has struggled, losing his last two matches against Francisco Comesana and Nicolas Jarry, both in straight sets. His only recent win came against Daniel Elahi Galan. Conversely, Auger-Aliassime also faced challenges, losing his last three matches, including one to Altmaier in Monte Carlo. However, both players have faced tough opponents, and Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking suggests he has encountered stronger competition overall.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking, Elo rating, and surface strength provide him with a significant edge heading into this match. A crucial factor to monitor will be how both players adapt their return games, as Auger-Aliassime's ability to counter Altmaier’s serves could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.

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