Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

Daniel Evans vs Zizou Bergs Prediction

Daniel Evans

Rank: #144
40%
VS

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #52
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Zizou Bergs

Player Metrics

Daniel Evans

Form Index: 49.6
ELO Rating: 549.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1612.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.0
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 86.5

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 19.5
ELO Rating: 948.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.8
Clay: 7.3
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Daniel Evans

  • Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jay Clarke (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) grass Eastbourne 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) grass Eastbourne 134 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) grass Eastbourne 129 min

Zizou Bergs

  • Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) grass Eastbourne 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) grass Halle 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 118 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniel Evans
vs
0
Zizou Bergs
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, D.C., Daniel Evans is set to face Zizou Bergs on hard court. The predicted winner of this matchup is Zizou Bergs, with a probability of winning at 59.76%, compared to Daniel Evans at 40.24%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 144, Daniel Evans comes into this match with a form index of 49.58 and an Elo rating of 549.47. His surface strength index stands at 5.44, indicating a modest ability on hard courts. Evans has shown signs of fatigue with a cumulative fatigue of 0 minutes, indicating he has not played extensively in this tournament. His mean serve index is 96.72 and mean return index is 86.54, which points to a solid but not outstanding performance in both aspects of his game. On the other hand, Zizou Bergs, ranked 52, holds a significantly higher Elo rating of 948.59 and a surface strength index of 9.76, showcasing a stronger capability on hard courts. His form index is notably lower at 19.47, which may indicate recent struggles. Bergs also enters this match with no accumulated fatigue, similar to Evans. His mean serve index is slightly lower at 96.09, while his mean return index is higher at 87.90, presenting a 1.36 differential in favor of his returning game. In their recent performances, both players have faced challenges. Evans lost to Novak Djokovic in his last match at Wimbledon, failing to win a set, while Bergs also experienced a first-round exit at the same tournament against Lloyd Harris, winning only one set in his last three matches. Both players are coming off tough losses, but Bergs' higher ranking and superior Elo rating give him a notable edge.

Final Prediction

Zizou Bergs is favored to win this matchup due to his stronger Elo rating and superior surface strength index, despite both players struggling recently. A key factor to observe during this match will be Bergs' returning ability, as he has shown a stronger mean return index which could play a crucial role in breaking Evans' serve.