Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #14
77%
VS

Dalibor Svrcina

Rank: #120
23%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 49.4
ELO Rating: 3417.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2118.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.8
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 40.9
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.8

Dalibor Svrcina

Form Index: 34.9
ELO Rating: 294.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 228.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.8
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.4
Serve Rating: 92.2
Return Rating: 89.0

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) hard Washington 145 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (2-0) hard Washington 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-1) hard Washington 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) grass Halle 81 min

Dalibor Svrcina

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Blockx (2-0) hard Toronto 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yosuke Watanuki (1-2) hard Toronto 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (0-2) clay Gstaad 63 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lukas Klein (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Omar Jasika (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Dalibor Svrcina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Toronto Masters 1000 tournament, Daniil Medvedev is set to face Dalibor Svrcina on hard courts in Canada. With a strong predicted win probability of 77.44% for Medvedev compared to Svrcina's 22.56%, the match is expected to feature around 21 games in total.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 14, boasts a form index of 49.44 and an Elo rating of 3417.09. His fatigue level is minimal at 0.0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for this encounter. Medvedev's surface strength index stands at 32.80, showcasing his proficiency on hard courts. Additionally, he holds a significant advantage in both mean serve index (96.72) and mean return index (87.81), both of which are superior to Svrcina's indices. This difference in serving prowess—over 4.5 points—coupled with a return game advantage greater than 5 points, bolsters Medvedev's position as the favorite. Conversely, Dalibor Svrcina is ranked 120 and has a form index of 34.91, with an Elo rating of 294.33. His fatigue level is notably higher at 228.0 minutes, which could impact his performance. Svrcina's surface strength index is significantly lower at 2.84, reflecting a lesser adaptability to hard surfaces. In his last three matches, Svrcina has shown mixed results, winning against Alexander Blockx but losing to both Yosuke Watanuki and Roman Andres Burruchaga. His inconsistency, particularly on hard courts, poses a challenge against a higher-ranked opponent.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's edge lies in his superior ranking, form, and freshness, alongside a distinct advantage in serving and returning capabilities. A key factor to watch will be how Svrcina manages his fatigue and whether he can capitalize on any opportunities presented by Medvedev's game.