Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #14
61%
VS

Nuno Borges

Rank: #47
39%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

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Ranking Trends

Daniil Medvedev

  • Current #14 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #14 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #10 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #5 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #5 2024-10-21

Nuno Borges

  • Current #47 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #40 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #41 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #33 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #33 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 67.4
ELO Rating: 2986.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2075.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.0
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 40.9
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.5

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 53.7
ELO Rating: 1232.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1609.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 10.5
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Nuno Borges
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Juncheng Shang (2-1) hard Shanghai 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Shanghai 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (2-0) hard Shanghai 136 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Tokio 113 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

3
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Nuno Borges
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

This upcoming match between Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges in the Round of 32 at the Vienna tournament is set to be an exciting encounter on hard courts. With a predicted winner, Daniil Medvedev holds a winning probability of 60.98% against Borges' 39.02%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 14th, showcases a strong form index of 67.42 and an impressive Elo rating of 2986.29, indicating a solid competitive edge. His surface strength index of 29.03 reflects his capability on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.71 significantly surpasses Borges' mean serve index of 95.22, providing Medvedev an advantage in service games. Additionally, Medvedev's mean return index of 87.52 is slightly higher than Borges' 87.37, suggesting he may have the upper hand in returning serves as well. In contrast, Nuno Borges, ranked 47th, has a form index of 53.66 and an Elo rating of 1232.95, which is considerably lower than Medvedev's. Borges has shown moments of brilliance, winning two out of his last three matches, including a notable victory over Juncheng Shang. However, he recently faced Alex de Minaur and was unable to secure a win, losing in straight sets. Medvedev, on the other hand, has displayed consistent performance in his last three matches, winning all and showcasing a blend of resilience and skill.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's superior ranking, form, and statistical advantages in serving and returning place him in a favorable position for this match. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Borges can counter Medvedev's serve, which will be critical in determining the match's outcome.

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