Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Denis Shapovalov

Rank: #24
49%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #28
51%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Joao Fonseca

Player Metrics

Denis Shapovalov

Form Index: 52.9
ELO Rating: 1048.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.9
Clay: 7.6
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.3

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 65.0
ELO Rating: 1150.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1645.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Denis Shapovalov

  • Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) hard Basel 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Basel 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Basel 135 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Stockholm 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (2-1) hard Stockholm 156 min

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Basel 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Basel 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-1) hard Basel 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (0-2) hard Brussels 122 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Denis Shapovalov
vs
1
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both players are competing on hard courts in the Round of 64 phase. Joao Fonseca is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 50.74%, while Denis Shapovalov holds a slightly lower probability of 49.26%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Denis Shapovalov, currently ranked 24, has a form index of 52.90 and an Elo rating of 1048.19. His surface strength index is 11.86, which suggests he has room for improvement on hard courts. His mean serve index stands at 96.89, indicating a strong serving ability, while his mean return index of 86.33 reflects solid return skills. In contrast, Joao Fonseca is ranked 28 with a higher form index of 65.01 and an Elo rating of 1150.28. Fonseca's surface strength index of 9.19 is slightly lower than Shapovalov’s, but he boasts a mean serve index of 94.57 and a mean return index of 86.42, showing a competitive return game. In their recent performances, Shapovalov has struggled, losing to Fonseca in their last encounter at Basel, though he did secure a win against Valentin Royer prior to that. Conversely, Fonseca has displayed impressive form, winning his last three matches, including the notable victory over Shapovalov. This recent head-to-head, where Fonseca triumphed in a tightly contested match, could provide him with a psychological advantage heading into their next battle.

Final Prediction

Joao Fonseca's recent form and confidence, especially following his victory over Shapovalov in their last match, provide him with a crucial edge. The key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of their serves, as Shapovalov's higher mean serve index could dictate the match's momentum if he can capitalize on it effectively.