Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #20
55%
VS

Denis Shapovalov

Rank: #31
45%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

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Ranking Trends

Ugo Humbert

  • Current #20 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #20 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #14 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #18 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #16 2024-06-17

Denis Shapovalov

  • Current #31 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #28 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #56 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #101 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #111 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 1917.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1671.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 20.7
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 84.5

Denis Shapovalov

Form Index: 31.5
ELO Rating: 1068.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.3
Clay: 7.6
Grass: 9.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Evans (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (1-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher O'Connell (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Denis Shapovalov
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) grass Stuttgart 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Martinez (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Vilius Gaubas (0-2) clay Rome 107 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Madrid 89 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Humbert
vs
0
Denis Shapovalov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 match at the Halle tournament in Germany features Ugo Humbert against Denis Shapovalov on grass. With Humbert slightly favored to win, he carries a 54.57% probability of victory compared to Shapovalov’s 45.43%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be 23.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert currently ranks 20th, showcasing a form index of 47.46 and an Elo rating of approximately 1917. His cumulative fatigue stands at zero minutes, indicating he is fresh coming into this match. Humbert's surface strength index of 20.70 and a mean serve index of 97.09 demonstrate his proficiency on grass. Notably, his mean return index of 84.54 is also strong, although it is just marginally lower than Shapovalov's. In contrast, Denis Shapovalov is ranked 31st with a form index of 31.46 and a significantly lower Elo rating of about 1068. His surface strength index of 9.15 reflects challenges on grass, and while his mean serve index of 95.94 is competitive, it falls just short of Humbert's by over 1 point. Shapovalov's mean return index of 85.98 indicates solid returning capabilities, but does not present a substantial advantage over Humbert. Both players have experienced mixed results in their recent matches, with Humbert winning two of his last three on grass, while Shapovalov lost his last match and has struggled since the clay season.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert appears to have the edge due to his higher rank, better current form, and stronger performance metrics on grass, particularly in serving. A key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of both players’ serves, as Humbert’s ability to maintain a higher mean serve index could be crucial in securing points and dictating play.

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