Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Denis Shapovalov, ranked 24th, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 1046.45 compared to Elias Ymer’s 304.97. Both players have similar form indices, with Shapovalov at 45.99 and Ymer at 45.14, indicating comparable recent performances. However, Ymer's cumulative fatigue is higher at 165 minutes, compared to Shapovalov's 128 minutes, suggesting that Ymer may be more fatigued entering this match. Shapovalov's surface strength index of 12.55 dwarfs Ymer's 1.91, indicating a much greater proficiency on hard courts. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index is marginal (Shapovalov at 95.49 and Ymer at 97.17), but the mean return index shows Shapovalov trailing slightly at 86.13 compared to Ymer’s 87.84. In their last three matches, Ymer has shown resilience, winning his recent matches against Jacob Fearnley and Mikael Ymer without dropping a set, although he did face a defeat against Patrick Maloney at the US Open. Conversely, Shapovalov has had a mixed bag of results, winning his latest match against Leo Borg but suffering a loss to Jiri Lehecka prior. His performance against Christopher O'Connell was strong, suggesting he is capable of delivering high-level tennis, especially in critical moments.