Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #53
41%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #95
59%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ethan Quinn

Player Metrics

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 18.0
ELO Rating: 779.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 6.5
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 62.6
ELO Rating: 779.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 349.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.7
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 93.6
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) grass London 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) clay Hamburg 114 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-1) clay Hamburg 145 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Rome 66 min

Ethan Quinn

  • Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (2-1) grass Mallorca 179 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Oliver Crawford (2-1) grass Mallorca 170 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Li Tu (1-2) grass Halle 129 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
vs
1
Ethan Quinn
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 32 match at the Mallorca tournament will see Camilo Ugo Carabelli face off against Ethan Quinn on grass, a surface that often favors more aggressive players. The predicted winner is Ethan Quinn, who has a 59.23% probability of winning compared to Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 40.77%. The match is expected to be closely contested, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Camilo Ugo Carabelli currently holds a rank of 53, with a form index of 18.03 and an Elo rating of 779.11. His surface strength index of 4.37 indicates a moderate adaptation to grass, but his mean serve index of 96.51 and mean return index of 88.81 suggest he has a solid serve and return game. In contrast, Ethan Quinn, ranked 95, boasts a form index of 62.56 and an Elo rating of 779.10, showing better recent performance. Despite his lower surface strength index of 3.33, Quinn's mean serve index of 93.61 and mean return index of 86.08 indicate he also has a competent service game. The difference in serve index is not significant, but Quinn's higher form index points to a more favorable recent trend. Looking at recent performances, Carabelli has struggled, losing his last three matches, including two on clay and one on grass against Reilly Opelka. His inability to secure wins may impact his confidence heading into this match. Conversely, Quinn has shown resilience, winning his last two matches at the Mallorca tournament on grass, which demonstrates his current form and adaptability to the playing conditions.

Final Prediction

Ethan Quinn's edge lies in his superior recent form and ability to perform well on grass, as evidenced by his recent victories in the same tournament. A key factor to watch will be Quinn's ability to maintain his serving efficiency, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.