Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Ethan Quinn vs Yoshihito Nishioka Prediction

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #86
54%
VS

Yoshihito Nishioka

Rank: #89
46%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ethan Quinn

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Ranking Trends

Ethan Quinn

  • Current #86 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #119 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #160 2025-01-27
  • 9 mo ago #219 2024-10-28
  • 12 mo ago #254 2024-07-29

Yoshihito Nishioka

  • Current #89 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #74 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #67 2025-01-27
  • 9 mo ago #64 2024-10-28
  • 12 mo ago #50 2024-07-29

Player Metrics

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 47.3
ELO Rating: 767.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.3
Clay: 6.8
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 85.8

Yoshihito Nishioka

Form Index: 26.1
ELO Rating: 929.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1586.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.1
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Ethan Quinn
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Yoshihito Nishioka
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ethan Quinn
vs
0
Yoshihito Nishioka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Ethan Quinn faces off against Yoshihito Nishioka on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Quinn slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 54.38% compared to Nishioka's 45.62%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Ethan Quinn, currently ranked 86th, has a form index of 47.33 and an Elo rating of 767.79. His surface strength index is 5.25, and he holds a mean serve index of 95.11 and a mean return index of 85.85. On the other hand, Yoshihito Nishioka, ranked 89th, has a lower form index of 26.11 and a higher Elo rating of 929.24. His surface strength index stands at 9.10, with a mean serve index of 95.49 and a mean return index of 86.33. Notably, the difference in serve indices is negligible, while the return index difference is also under 5 points, suggesting similar proficiency in serve and return for both players. In their recent performances, both players have had mixed results. Quinn's last three matches include a victory against Christopher O'Connell but losses to Brandon Nakashima and Kamil Majchrzak. Nishioka has also experienced a similar trend, with a win against Jenson Brooksby and losses to Flavio Cobolli and Grigor Dimitrov. This recent form indicates that both players will be looking to regain their winning momentum in this match.

Final Prediction

Ethan Quinn's slight edge in probability, coupled with his better recent form, positions him as the predicted winner in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of their serves, as both players have demonstrated similar capabilities in this area, which could ultimately determine the outcome.

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