Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #53
40%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
60%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 44.0
ELO Rating: 924.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 120
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.2
Clay: 27.4
Grass: 22.9
Serve Rating: 55.5
Return Rating: 53.9

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 55.9
ELO Rating: 2750.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1921.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 63.2
Clay: 63.5
Grass: 71.2
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 91.2

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-1) hard Auckland 120 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (0-2) hard Hong Kong 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Paris 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Almaty 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Almaty 79 min

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (0-2) hard Paris 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-1) hard Basel 57 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) hard Basel 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) hard Basel 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Stockholm 66 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Fabian Marozsan
vs
0
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Fabian Marozsan and Casper Ruud takes place in the Round of 16 at the Auckland tournament, held on hard courts as part of an ATP 250 event. Casper Ruud is predicted to win this encounter with a probability of 60.21%, while Marozsan's chances stand at 39.79%. The anticipated total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Fabian Marozsan is currently ranked 53rd, displaying a form index of 43.97 and an Elo rating of 924.22, which indicates a relatively lower level of performance compared to his opponent. His fatigue level is notably high at 120 minutes, reflecting the cumulative exertion from prior matches. Marozsan's surface strength index of 27.25 suggests he may struggle on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 55.54 and mean return index of 53.89 indicate average capabilities in both aspects. In contrast, Casper Ruud, ranked 12th, enjoys a form index of 55.92 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 2750.00, showcasing his superior performance consistency. Ruud enters the match without any fatigue, having played only 85 minutes in his last match. His surface strength index of 63.18 indicates a strong adaptability to hard courts. Moreover, Ruud's mean serve index of 97.76 and mean return index of 91.22 reveal a considerable advantage, as the difference in serve index is over 40 points. Both players have had mixed results in their recent matches, with Marozsan winning his last match against Gael Monfils but losing two prior, while Ruud's recent performances have also seen him secure one win against Stan Wawrinka but falter in his last two.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's higher ranking, better form, and significantly lower fatigue levels provide him with a clear edge over Fabian Marozsan. Additionally, the substantial difference in both players' serve and return indices suggests that Ruud may dominate key points in the match. A critical factor to watch will be how Marozsan handles the pressure against Ruud's powerful serve and return game.