Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #61
42%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #65
58%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Joao Fonseca

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 39.7
ELO Rating: 1269.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 1072.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1646.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 8.5
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Madrid 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Munich 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) clay Munich 99 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) clay Munich 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Justin Engel (2-0) clay Munich 68 min

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (0-2) clay Madrid 125 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) hard Miami 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Miami 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-1) hard Miami 143 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Fabian Marozsan
vs
0
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Fabian Marozsan and Joao Fonseca takes place at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on clay. With both players seeking to advance in the round of 128, Joao Fonseca is favored to win, boasting a probability of 57.73%, compared to Marozsan's 42.27%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Fabian Marozsan holds a rank of 61, a form index of 39.71, and an Elo rating of 1269.05. His surface strength index is relatively robust at 9.21, and he has demonstrated a strong mean serve index of 97.15, indicating his ability to win points on his serve. However, his mean return index of 87.59 suggests he could struggle against a competent opponent. Joao Fonseca, ranked 65, has a higher form index of 44.42 and a lower Elo rating of 1072.35. While his surface strength index is slightly lower at 8.49, his mean serve index of 95.05 is close to Marozsan's, and his mean return index of 87.37 is also competitive. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index is not beyond the 5-point threshold, indicating a relatively even matchup in serving capabilities. In their recent performances, Marozsan faced challenges, losing his last two matches in Madrid and Munich, with only one victory against Zizou Bergs in the previous three matches. Fonseca also has a mixed record, losing to Tommy Paul in his last match but securing a win against Elmer Moller prior to that. Both players are coming off matches on clay, which may have an impact on their performance, yet Fonseca's recent win could provide him with a psychological advantage.

Final Prediction

Joao Fonseca's slight edge in form and recent competitive experience positions him favorably in this matchup against Marozsan. A crucial factor to observe will be their serving performance, as both players have shown capabilities but also vulnerabilities in their return games. The ability to capitalize on service games could very well determine the outcome of this contest.