Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Federico Agustin Gomez vs Jack Draper Prediction

Federico Agustin Gomez

Rank: #204
11%
VS

Jack Draper

Rank: #5
89%
Expected Total Games: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Jack Draper

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Ranking Trends

Federico Agustin Gomez

  • Current #204 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #144 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #135 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #138 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #182 2024-08-26

Jack Draper

  • Current #5 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #5 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #12 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #15 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #25 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Federico Agustin Gomez

Form Index: 86.2
ELO Rating: 465.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1514.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.3
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 3.9
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 84.6

Jack Draper

Form Index: 60.4
ELO Rating: 2401.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1697.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 19.8
Grass: 21.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Federico Agustin Gomez
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Jack Draper
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Federico Agustin Gomez
vs
0
Jack Draper
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Federico Agustin Gomez and Jack Draper at the 2025 US Open is set to take place on hard courts in New York during the Round of 128. With Jack Draper heavily favored to win, he has an 88.59% probability of success compared to Gomez's 11.41%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 34.

Match Analysis

Jack Draper, currently ranked 5 in the world, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 2401.38 and a surface strength index of 23.30, indicating his strong performance on hard courts. In contrast, Federico Agustin Gomez is ranked 204, with a much lower Elo rating of 465.34 and a surface strength index of 4.31. The disparity in their mean serve index shows Draper with 95.58 compared to Gomez’s 94.08, while Draper also has a better mean return index of 87.07 versus Gomez’s 84.63. These differences suggest that Draper is likely to dominate both service and return games. Reviewing their recent performances, Gomez has shown some resilience, winning his last three matches in the US Open, albeit against lower-ranked opponents. Each match lasted 174 minutes, indicating a consistent level of court time. On the other hand, Draper’s last match ended in defeat against Marin Cilic at Wimbledon, although he secured a win against Sebastian Baez prior to that. This inconsistency might be a concern for Draper, but his overall higher ranking and lower fatigue level give him an edge.

Final Prediction

Jack Draper's ranking and superior statistics, particularly in serve and return indices, position him as the clear favorite in this match against Gomez. A key factor to monitor will be Draper's ability to maintain his energy levels, as he has not faced significant court time during this tournament compared to Gomez.

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