Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #29
60%
Expected Total Games: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Player Metrics

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 47.1
ELO Rating: 1265.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1532.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 135.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 13.7
Serve Rating: 99.3
Return Rating: 82.9

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 35.1
ELO Rating: 1431.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1660.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
vs
1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Felix Auger-Aliassime takes place in the Round of 16 at the Stuttgart tournament, held on grass as part of an ATP 250 event. The predicted winner is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 60.15% probability of victory compared to 39.85% for Mpetshi Perricard. The match is expected to feature around 25 games in total.

Match Analysis

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard currently holds a rank of 36, with a form index of 47.09 and an Elo rating of 1265.91. He has accumulated 135 minutes of cumulative fatigue in this tournament, which could affect his performance. On grass, his surface strength index sits at 13.66, while his mean serve index is notably higher at 99.33 compared to his mean return index of 82.86. In contrast, Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 29, has a lower form index of 35.09 and a higher Elo rating of 1431.74. He has no cumulative fatigue as he has not yet played in the current tournament, and his surface strength index is slightly lower at 12.51. Auger-Aliassime's mean serve index of 96.31 and mean return index of 85.71 indicate a solid baseline performance, with a return index that is 2.86 points higher than Perricard's. In their recent performances, Mpetshi Perricard won his last match against Roman Safiullin in Stuttgart, demonstrating resilience with a match duration of 135 minutes. However, he lost his previous match at Roland Garros against Damir Dzumhur. On the other hand, Felix Auger-Aliassime faced challenges in the last three matches, including a recent loss to Matteo Arnaldi at Roland Garros, but he has shown competitive spirit, having won against Alexandre Muller earlier in the Hamburg tournament.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's advantage lies in his higher Elo rating and lack of fatigue, which may provide him with a significant edge heading into this match. Additionally, his slightly better return index suggests he may be more effective at breaking Perricard's serves, a key factor to watch as the match unfolds.

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