Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Felix comes mainly from recent record by level, overall strength, and surface fit. Recent form shows Felix arriving with a straight sets win over Stefanos Tsitsipas in Cincinnati and deep, competitive showings at Wimbledon, while Cerundolo has battled through two wins here but lost earlier to Casper Ruud in Toronto. That recent record by level lifts Felix in match probability. Overall strength is reflected in ranking and ratings. Auger-Aliassime is world number 4 with an Elo around 1906 and a form index near 72.7. Cerundolo is ranked 51 with an Elo near 1737 and a form index near 62.0. Those gaps favor Felix in tight moments. Surface fit and match load also matter. Felix posts a higher surface strength index on hard courts, 40.93 versus Cerundolo's 17.09. Hard courts suit Felix's blend of power and movement more reliably. Fatigue is another factor. Cerundolo has logged 297 minutes at this event so far, a heavy on-court load, while Felix has played only 88 minutes. Serve and return metrics are competitive. Both have strong serve indexes in the mid 90s and capable return profiles, so expect holds to be contested. In the last three matches, Cerundolo won two at Cincinnati and lost to Ruud, while Felix won two of three including a notable win over Tsitsipas.