Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Justin Engel vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Justin Engel

Rank: #281
31%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #29
69%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Justin Engel

  • Current Rank: #281 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #350 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #395 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #516 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #881 (2024-06-10)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #29 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #18 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #29 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #21 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #18 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Justin Engel

Form Index: 49.2
ELO Rating: 328.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1699.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 226.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.3
Clay: 2.0
Grass: 2.2
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 85.4

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 1441.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1663.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 77.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.7
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Justin Engel
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (2-1) grass Stuttgart 149 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Munich 68 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) grass Stuttgart 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Hamburg 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) clay Hamburg 178 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) clay Hamburg 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Justin Engel
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match in Stuttgart will see Justin Engel take on Felix Auger-Aliassime on grass, a surface that can often favor players with strong serve and net play. The predicted winner is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 69.32% probability of victory compared to Justin Engel's 30.68%. The total number of games expected to be played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime holds a significant advantage in ranking, currently positioned at 29 compared to Justin Engel's 281. Although both players have similar mean return indices, with Auger-Aliassime at 85.62 and Engel at 85.38, the surface strength index paints a different picture; Auger-Aliassime's index of 12.72 significantly outperforms Engel's 2.22. This disparity highlights Auger-Aliassime’s greater proficiency on grass, a critical factor in this matchup. Additionally, Auger-Aliassime's fatigue level stands at 77.0 minutes, considerably lower than Engel's 226.0 minutes, suggesting that Engel may be more fatigued heading into this match. Examining their recent performances, both players have shown resilience, though Auger-Aliassime's last three matches consist of one win on grass, while Engel has secured two wins in his last three outings, both in the current tournament. Notably, Engel has had to play longer matches, including a 149-minute encounter against James Duckworth, which may impact his stamina in the next round. In contrast, Auger-Aliassime's last match against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard was a comfortable win in just 77 minutes, allowing him to conserve energy.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's superior ranking, lower fatigue level, and stronger performance on grass give him a clear edge over Justin Engel in this quarterfinal clash. A key factor to watch will be Auger-Aliassime's ability to leverage his serve and capitalize on Engel's fatigue, which could dictate the flow of the match.