Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #12
65%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #89
35%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #12 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #19 (2024-10-21)

Marin Cilic

  • Current Rank: #89 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #64 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #109 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #181 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #202 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 67.6
ELO Rating: 1645.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 110.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.3
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.0
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 85.5

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 55.7
ELO Rating: 839.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.0
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Basel 110 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) hard Brussels 154 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Brussels 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-0) hard Brussels 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) hard Brussels 173 min

Marin Cilic
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-0) hard Basel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Basel 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Stockholm 109 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) hard Stockholm 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-2) hard Shanghai 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
0
Marin Cilic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Basel tournament features Felix Auger-Aliassime against Marin Cilic on hard court. Given the current form and statistics, Auger-Aliassime is predicted to win with a probability of 65.28%, while Cilic has a 34.72% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime, ranked 12th, exhibits a strong form index of 67.59 and a commendable Elo rating of 1645.32. His cumulative fatigue stands at 110 minutes, suggesting he is relatively fresh for this encounter. Notably, his surface strength index of 14.34 and a mean serve index of 97.41 indicate his effectiveness on hard courts. In contrast, Marin Cilic, ranked 89th, has a lower form index of 55.66 and an Elo rating of 838.99. His fatigue level is higher at 174 minutes, which may impact his performance. Cilic's surface strength index is only 8.04, and while his mean serve index of 95.29 remains competitive, it falls short when compared to Auger-Aliassime's. In their recent performances, Auger-Aliassime has won all three of his last matches, showcasing dominance with straight-set victories, including a recent win against Gabriel Diallo. Cilic also boasts a successful run in Basel, winning his last two matches, but faced a defeat against Casper Ruud in Stockholm prior to this tournament. The consistency and quality of Auger-Aliassime's performance in recent matches give him a notable advantage.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's superior ranking, form, and recent performances provide him with the edge going into this match against Marin Cilic. A key factor to monitor will be Auger-Aliassime's serve, as his higher mean serve index could prove pivotal in securing points and dictating the pace of the match.