Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Felix enters as the clear higher-ranked player (No. 8) with a very large Elo rating (4062.0) compared with Wawrinka (rank 139, Elo 509.69). Felix’s form index is 35.28 and he arrives with zero cumulative fatigue from this tournament; his surface strength index on hard is 26.72. Wawrinka shows a higher form index (55.46) but carries 98 minutes of on-court time in this event and has a low surface strength index (5.53) on hard. There are notable gaps in the serve/return profiles: Wawrinka’s mean serve index (96.94) exceeds Felix’s (80.64) by more than 5 points, and his mean return index (91.86) is substantially higher than Felix’s return index (36.81). Looking at recent results, Felix has three recent hard-court outings: a straight-sets win over Alexander Bublik in Paris, followed by losses to Jannik Sinner (Paris) and Nuno Borges (Australian Open). Those matches include a mix of short and very long encounters (match durations of 96, 112 and 174 minutes). Wawrinka’s last three include a Montpellier win over Hamad Medjedovic (98 minutes) plus mixed results at the Australian Open (a five-set win versus Arthur Gea and a loss to Taylor Fritz). The recent sample shows Wawrinka fighting through lengthy matches while Felix’s recent results are uneven against top opposition.