Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Titouan Droguet: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Felix comes in ranked 8 with an Elo of 4062 and a form index of 49.62. He has accumulated 175 minutes on court this week and posts a surface strength index of 26.72 and a mean serve index of 81.98. Droguet is ranked 155 with an Elo of 564.31 and a slightly higher form index of 57.21, but he carries heavier fatigue (496 minutes) and a low surface strength index of 4.86. The disparity in Elo and ranking favors Felix strongly, while Droguet’s deeper run this week shows momentum at the cost of court time. There is a notable difference in serving and returning profiles: Droguet’s mean serve index (96.49) is substantially higher than Felix’s (81.98), and his mean return index (90.14) is far above Felix’s (38.14). Over the last three matches, Felix has won two of three (including victories at this tournament over Stan Wawrinka and Arthur Fils) after a long Australian Open match loss, whereas Droguet has won three straight in Montpellier, beating Griekspoor, Kovacevic and Choinski. That recent winning streak gives Droguet confidence, but accumulated minutes suggest fatigue could be a factor.