Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Cobolli arrives with the higher ranking (13) and superior Elo (1754.2 vs 1696.8), while Vallejo’s form index (89.37) is markedly higher than Cobolli’s (68.13), signaling recent confidence for the Argentine. Fatigue is a significant factor: Vallejo has logged 376 minutes on court in Madrid so far versus Cobolli’s 147, which could blunt Vallejo’s legs late. On clay both players show modest surface strength indices (Vallejo 41.65; Cobolli 45.90), suggesting neither is a dominant clay specialist here. There is a large gap in serving metrics: Cobolli’s mean serve index (97.21) eclipses Vallejo’s (61.56) by more than 5 points — a clear serving advantage for Cobolli. Their mean return indices also differ by over 5 points (Cobolli 90.43; Vallejo 82.42), indicating Cobolli is stronger on both serve and return in the underlying data. Over the last three matches Vallejo is unbeaten in Madrid (three straight wins including a straight-sets win over Dimitrov), showing excellent tournament form. Cobolli has two wins from his last three, including a long three-set victory in Madrid and a loss in Munich, so his recent results are solid but less consistent.