Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Cobolli arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 12) with an Elo of 1827.3, a solid form index of 57.3 and a surface strength index of 34.4 on clay. His service metrics are strong — a mean serve index of 95.50 — and his mean return index of 92.36 suggests he can create pressure on opponents’ serves. Cobolli has already posted two straight-set wins at Roland-Garros, beating Andrea Pellegrino and Yibing Wu in marathon 174-minute matches, though he lost an earlier clay outing in Hamburg. Tien, ranked 20th, carries a higher Elo (1862.7) and a markedly better form index of 75.4, suggesting peak momentum coming into this round. His surface strength index is slightly lower at 29.1, and his serving (mean serve index 94.54) and returning (mean return index 87.70) are comparable to Cobolli’s, with no large gaps in either category. Tien’s pathway has been rugged but fruitful: three wins in a row, including a tight 3–2 victory over Facundo Díaz Acosta and a 2–1 result against Cristian Garin, indicating match toughness and the ability to grind through long encounters. Both players show identical cumulative fatigue figures (348 minutes), so recovery will not be a differentiator.