Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Flavio Cobolli comes mainly from overall strength and Elo advantage, with a smaller boost from surface fit and recent record against quality opposition. Cobolli sits well above Kecmanovic in rank and Elo. He is ranked 8 versus Kecmanovic at 62, and carries an Elo of 1823.57 against Kecmanovic’s 1605.02. Those factors account for the largest single contributions toward Cobolli in the prediction. Recent form moves slightly toward Kecmanovic. His form index is 43.99 compared with Cobolli’s 42.57, and Kecmanovic arrives having won his Cincinnati opener in straight sets. That win, combined with two hard court matches in Toronto, supports the small form advantage the model assigns to him. Fatigue and surface fit are relevant. Kecmanovic has 87 minutes on court so far this tournament while Cobolli shows zero minutes in this event. Both players show almost identical surface strength indices around 21 to 22, which suggests neither has a clear hard court edge. Serve and return profiles are similar. Kecmanovic’s mean serve index is 96.66 and Cobolli’s 94.72. Mean return indexes are 89.83 and 86.47 respectively. Neither difference exceeds five points, so serve and return are not decisive here. Over the last three matches, Kecmanovic is 2 wins and 1 loss, including a straight sets win in Cincinnati. Cobolli’s recent results show three losses across Toronto, Umag, and Wimbledon.