Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #23
50%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #34
50%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

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Ranking Trends

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current #23 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #17 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #36 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #34 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #32 2024-10-28

Tomas Machac

  • Current #34 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #22 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #20 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #25 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #25 2024-10-28

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 40.4
ELO Rating: 1280.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1654.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 87.6

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 34.2
ELO Rating: 1084.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.2
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 13.1
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Vienna 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-0) hard Vienna 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Almaty 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) hard Almaty 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Shanghai 92 min

Tomas Machac
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Flavio Cobolli
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Flavio Cobolli is set to face Tomas Machac on hard courts. With a closely contested matchup predicted, Cobolli is favored to win with a probability of 50.35% compared to Machac’s 49.65%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.

Match Analysis

Flavio Cobolli, currently ranked 23rd, showcases a solid form index of 40.42 and a competitive Elo rating of 1280.51. His surface strength index of 9.60 indicates a decent ability on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.58, which suggests he can deliver strong serves. Comparatively, Tomas Machac, ranked 34th, has a lower form index of 34.18 and an Elo rating of 1084.21. His surface strength index is higher at 12.17, indicating a slightly better performance potential on hard courts. However, Cobolli’s mean serve index exceeds Machac's by over a point, giving him a slight advantage in serve capability. In their recent performances, Cobolli's results have been mixed, with a notable victory over Machac in their last meeting, where he won 2-0. His latest match in Vienna against Jannik Sinner was a loss, which may impact his confidence. Machac, on the other hand, has struggled recently, losing to Cobolli in their previous encounter and suffering another defeat against Vacherot, further complicating his momentum as he heads into this match.

Final Prediction

Cobolli appears to have the upper hand due to his recent victory over Machac, along with a stronger serve index that could prove decisive in tight moments. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Cobolli's serve against Machac’s return game, as this will likely dictate the flow of points throughout their match.

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