Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Flavio Cobolli vs Yoshihito Nishioka Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #18
65%
VS

Yoshihito Nishioka

Rank: #89
35%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Ranking Trends

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #18 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #36 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #31 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #48 (2024-07-22)

Yoshihito Nishioka

  • Current Rank: #89 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #74 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #65 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #86 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 81.5
ELO Rating: 1429.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1658.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.1

Yoshihito Nishioka

Form Index: 26.7
ELO Rating: 931.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 158.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Pinnington Jones (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Beibit Zhukayev (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Yoshihito Nishioka
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Washington 158 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) grass Halle 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (1-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Flavio Cobolli
vs
1
Yoshihito Nishioka
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, Flavio Cobolli is set to face Yoshihito Nishioka on hard courts. With Cobolli ranked 18th against Nishioka's 89th, the match is expected to lean in Cobolli's favor. The predicted winner is Flavio Cobolli, with a win probability of 64.74%, while Nishioka has a 35.26% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games in this contest is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Flavio Cobolli enters this match with a significantly higher ranking and a form index of 81.50, indicating strong recent performances. His Elo rating stands at 1429.49, illustrating his competitive stature on the tour. Cobolli exhibits low fatigue with 0 minutes accumulated in the current tournament, enhancing his readiness. His surface strength index of 9.85 and mean serve index of 96.74 highlight his proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Yoshihito Nishioka, ranked 89th, has a form index of just 26.68 and an Elo rating of 931.56. Nishioka's fatigue level is notably higher at 158 minutes, which could impact his stamina in this matchup. His surface strength index of 9.23 and mean serve index of 95.54 show he is competent, but less formidable compared to Cobolli. Examining recent performances, Cobolli's last three matches include a notable victory against Marin Cilic, while he faced the challenge of Novak Djokovic, where he managed to secure a set. Nishioka, on the other hand, achieved a victory against Jenson Brooksby in his latest match but struggled against both Grigor Dimitrov and Yannick Hanfmann prior to that, suffering defeats without winning a set in those encounters.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's higher ranking, superior form, and lack of fatigue provide him a distinct advantage over Nishioka, who is grappling with both fatigue and inconsistent performances. A key factor to watch during the match will be Cobolli's serve, as his higher mean serve index could play a crucial role in dictating the pace and flow of the game.