Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #66
36%
VS

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #11
64%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 58.4
ELO Rating: 705.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 116.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 85.5

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 67.7
ELO Rating: 1550.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1700.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.9
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Washington 116 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) hard Los Cabos 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) hard Los Cabos 148 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) hard Los Cabos 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luis Carlos Alvarez (2-0) hard Los Cabos 96 min

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
vs
2
Frances Tiafoe
Hard
0 - 2
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Frances Tiafoe in the Round of 32 at the Washington ATP 500 tournament promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both players will compete on hard courts in D.C., with Tiafoe favored to win, carrying a 63.93% probability compared to Kovacevic's 36.07%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Frances Tiafoe, currently ranked 11th, boasts a stronger form index of 67.71, indicating a higher level of recent performance compared to Kovacevic’s 58.38 and his 66th rank. Tiafoe's Elo rating of 1550.04 showcases his established prowess on the ATP circuit, while Kovacevic's rating stands at 705.55. Notably, Tiafoe has zero cumulative fatigue from previous matches in the current tournament, which could benefit his stamina and performance. In contrast, Kovacevic has accumulated 116 minutes of fatigue, indicating a potential impact on his ability to maintain high intensity throughout the match. When examining their respective surface strength indices, Tiafoe holds an advantage with a score of 13.09 compared to Kovacevic's 8.60. Additionally, while both players possess strong serve capabilities, Tiafoe's mean serve index of 95.68 is marginally lower than Kovacevic’s 97.76, making it a closely matched aspect. However, Tiafoe's mean return index of 86.74 surpasses Kovacevic's 85.53, further showcasing his ability to counteract serve effectively. Recent performances indicate that Tiafoe has struggled in his last three matches, losing two, while Kovacevic recently secured a win against Quentin Halys, demonstrating resilience.

Final Prediction

Tiafoe's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a distinct edge heading into this match. Key to watch will be Tiafoe's return game, as his ability to effectively counter Kovacevic's serve could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this encounter.